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MANIFOLD
What will Anthropic’s publicly traded market value be on 12/31/27
2
Ṁ1kṀ75
2027
2.54 $tn
expected
10%
Below $1.0tn
12%
$1.0tn - $1.49tn
12%
$1.5tn - $1.99tn
19%
$2.0tn - $2.49tn
12%
$2.5tn - $2.99tn
12%
$3.0tn - $3.49tn
12%
$3.5tn - $4.0tn
12%
Above $4.0tn

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to Anthropic's market value (either public market capitalization or private valuation) as of December 31, 2027, according to the following criteria:

  1. If Anthropic is a publicly traded company on December 31, 2027: The market will resolve to its public market capitalization at the close of the last trading day of 2027 (typically December 31, 2027). The valuation will be verified using market data from Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, or Bloomberg.

  2. If Anthropic remains a private company on December 31, 2027, or if Anthropic is acquired or merges, or is otherwise not publicly traded, the market will resolve NA.

Background

In late May 2026, Anthropic closed a historic $65 billion Series H funding round led by Altimeter Capital, Dragoneer, Greenoaks, and Sequoia Capital, valuing the company at a post-money valuation of $965 billion. Driven by explosive enterprise demand for Claude Code, Anthropic reported that its annualized revenue run rate had crossed $47 billion in May 2026.

In early June 2026, Anthropic confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC, paving the way for a potential initial public offering (IPO). This market allows traders to predict whether Anthropic's valuation will break past the trillion-dollar milestone or face a market correction by the end of 2027.

Market context
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