Poll: Would you buy Manifold Gold?
Poll: Would you buy Manifold Gold?
59
1.5kṀ4261
resolved Apr 3
Resolved
YES

Manifold Gold is a premium subscription plan for Manifold which will give you

  • A gold badge next to your name

  • Access to Loans, which give you 2% of your invested cash back each day (assuming we remove free access to this feature)

  • Algorithmic boosting to all your markets and comments (something like 20-50% more visibility)

  • Exclusive access to new or experimental features

  • More stuff we haven't thought of yet

It will cost something like $100 / year. (We'll probably let people pay in mana, but please answer the poll as if a credit card payment of $100 were the only option.)

Resolves YES if 25% or more respondents vote Yes. Poll closes on April 2 at 11:59 PT. I won't trade in this market (outside an initial ante bet).

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Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
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What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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