We don't currently track the "mana supply" or quantity of outstanding M$, but we probably will soon...

If the mana supply is greater than $10M at the time someone on the Manifold team calculates this value for the first time, this market affirmatively. (If we don't calculate this value before the 20th, this resolves N/A.)

Methodology: For the purposes of this market, the "mana supply" is equal to the sum of the portfolio value of all users, excluding the house account, @ManifoldMarkets. (Note that this excludes loans and the liquidity locked in each market's liquidity pool.)

Addendum: I will also exclude accounts like @NinthCause where Manifold team members have printed themselves an insane amount of mana, or any obvious attempts to manipulate this market.

Resolution: I wrote a script using the above methodology and the mana supply is Ṁ17 million as of December 21st, 2022.