Which Starship will be the first to be caught?

Starship Flight 15: what happens to the ship? (first tower catch attempt, by Nov 30)

Will Starship successfully deploy its payload during Flight 15?

Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?

When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?

When will Starship successfully land for the first time?

When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?