Will Starship Flight 7 fly before New Glenn’s Maiden flight?
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Plus
41
Ṁ9302
Jan 11
38%
chance

Which rocket will lift off first. It’s that simple if it gets off the pad first it counts. It’s a matter of days now so we will see as of the making of this market New Glenn Maiden Flight leads with a scheduled launch time of Wednesday January 8th 2025 and Starship Flight 7 trailing at Friday January 10th 2025.

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bought Ṁ350 NO

Starship now targeting no earlier than January 13

New Glenn possibly NET Sunday (12 Jan)

bought Ṁ100 YES

If they're within a day of each other, I'm betting on Starship. Or rather, betting against New Glenn being able to complete their countdown on their first try. They will surely have at least one scrub.

@DanHomerick they don't seem to be within a day anymore but this comment still holds true if New Glenn’s next launch window is after the current Starship window of Monday at 5pm EST.

bought Ṁ500 NO

Starship now on the 11th, in the morning (1300 UTC, 14:00 central European)

New Glenn now Fri Jan 10, 2025 06:00 GMT

Landing ship Jacklyn left port 2nd Jan

Will it slip again? SpaceX has been doing remarkably well launching Starship on its first attempt recently. Blue might need more experience before getting there but maybe slip 6th to 8th then 8th to 10th and 3rd time is the charm

The Wednesday 1am launch more than likely was not going to happen even if they tried due to that specific time being originally projected to be the coldest night of winter here in Florida. No point in having the heightened chance of anomalies. Friday early AM looks good, if that is pushed, weather is cloudy and rainy from Fri night-Mon morning.

@Mqrius so if it falls to the back up day new glenn still launches first. So it has to scrub twice and/or have a significant issue that they reschedule entirely. Cool, thank you!

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