Will we get a cure for cancer before 2038?
Basic
15
418
2038
35%
chance

Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.

In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached. This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2038.


Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-92c17acb77f1

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7e534a91d188

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7ddfe58feb89

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor

/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ffd180fe8e3d

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-06bd353512dc

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-8ae988ef1cac

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-d3d4a061f891

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-5d430e6e7829

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-99db0a1a6f37 (this question)

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc

Other questions for 2038:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2038

/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-c57aceafb9dc

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-449f2f19c777

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-e944d3f186ed

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa-aaa7b812182d

Other reference points for cure for cancer:

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-we

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-939ead04dfb1

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c

The cohorts considered in these studies must be statistically representative of that country's population.

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