Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
15
119
1k
2026
28%
chance

Resolves YES if any NATO nation (excluding Ukraine, should it be added to NATO) sends its soldiers to fight in Ukraine. Non-combat support or weapons do not count.

This market resolves as YES only if there is strong evidence that a NATO nation has sent at least 50 soldiers to Ukraine in combat roles. Both offensive and defensive roles count. Support for western weapons systems alone does not count.

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