Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
Standard
17
Ṁ6102026
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any NATO nation (excluding Ukraine, should it be added to NATO) sends its soldiers to fight in Ukraine. Non-combat support or weapons do not count.
This market resolves as YES only if there is strong evidence that a NATO nation has sent at least 50 soldiers to Ukraine in combat roles. Both offensive and defensive roles count. Support for western weapons systems alone does not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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