Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
15
112
Ṁ565Ṁ400
2026
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any NATO nation (excluding Ukraine, should it be added to NATO) sends its soldiers to fight in Ukraine. Non-combat support or weapons do not count.
This market resolves as YES only if there is strong evidence that a NATO nation has sent at least 50 soldiers to Ukraine in combat roles. Both offensive and defensive roles count. Support for western weapons systems alone does not count.
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