MANIFOLD
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
37
Ṁ1kṀ19k
resolved Feb 28
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if any NATO nation (excluding Ukraine, should it be added to NATO) sends its soldiers to fight in Ukraine. Non-combat support or weapons do not count.

This market resolves as YES only if there is strong evidence that a NATO nation has sent at least 50 soldiers to Ukraine in combat roles. Both offensive and defensive roles count. Support for western weapons systems alone does not count.

Market context
Wars
Geopolitics
Ukraine-Russia war
Ukraine
NATO
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bought Ṁ500 NO

@mods MC's acccount is deleted. NATO members have not sent soldiers to fight in Ukraine, and this should resolve NO.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czxwl15w2qko

Should arb with https://manifold.markets/MalachiteEagle/will-france-or-the-uk-send-soldiers

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