Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
33
1kṀ10kMar 1
2%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any NATO nation (excluding Ukraine, should it be added to NATO) sends its soldiers to fight in Ukraine. Non-combat support or weapons do not count.
This market resolves as YES only if there is strong evidence that a NATO nation has sent at least 50 soldiers to Ukraine in combat roles. Both offensive and defensive roles count. Support for western weapons systems alone does not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?
20% chance
Will US troops be deployed to Ukraine-Russia border in 2026?
4% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
1% chance
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
8% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035?
33% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
29% chance
[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
25% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2029?
14% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2040?
39% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031?
22% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?
20% chance
Will US troops be deployed to Ukraine-Russia border in 2026?
4% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
1% chance
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
8% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035?
33% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
29% chance
[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
25% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2029?
14% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2040?
39% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031?
22% chance



