Will Ukraine fire an ATACMS missile into Russia before September 1st 2026?
Mini
11
539
2026
93%
chance

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Ukraine has fired an ATACMS missile into Russia before September 1st 2026.

If there is only weak evidence that this has occurred, this question resolves as N/A. If there is no evidence, then this question resolves as NO.

"Russia" is defined as its 1991 borders. Crimea/Donbas are not Russia.

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