China to officially recognize Taiwan as a country before the end of 2028 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ
16
100แน€1464
2028
4%
chance
4

Resolves yes if China opens an embassy in Taiwan

  • Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The entity referred to as 'China' (in 'China opens an embassy in Taiwan') is not limited to the current CPC-led government.

    • Scenarios where a different government takes control of mainland China and that government subsequently opens an embassy in Taiwan would count towards a YES resolution.

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China Taiwan potential conflict
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Does this count scenarios where a government other than the CPC takes control over the majority of mainland China, and that one recognises Taiwan?

@TheAllMemeingEye yes, it could be

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