Resolves YES if every "will I make MOP" market with over 80% YES percentage ends up resolving YES. There's five right now (including mine):
https://manifold.markets/Andrewaae1/will-i-make-mop-2024-2d5bd4e4b870
https://manifold.markets/RitwinNarra/will-i-make-mop-2024-1cbc9c1a9bff
https://manifold.markets/EvinLiang/will-i-make-mop-2024-a5e4f39ef304
https://manifold.markets/Davida035/will-i-make-mop-2024-004fe497fd10
https://manifold.markets/PseudonymousBosche24f/will-i-make-mop-2024
To decide this market, I will look at all the YES/NO-style markets that are equivalent to "will [someone] make MOP" by searching for "MOP." If any one that had over 80% YES percentage (truthfully) resolves NO, this market resolves NO. To avoid the complication of markets being bet down on the day of emails being released, percentages considered will be based on two days before scores are released. Resolves N/A if no such markets exist.
I may bet on this market, but not using information that only I would know about my personal results.
๐ Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | แน91 | |
2 | แน73 | |
3 | แน37 | |
4 | แน31 | |
5 | แน20 |