Top 1 prediction market by volume in 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ30Dec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
47%
Polymarket
34%
Kalshi
20%
Resolution: Prediction market with highest total trading volume (USD equivalent) during calendar year 2026.
Included: Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Betfair Exchange (politics/events markets), Insight Prediction, and any new PM launched before July 2026.
Excluded: Pure sports betting, binary options platforms.
Source: Official reports, public dashboards, or credible third-party estimates (The Block, CoinGecko, etc.). If multiple sources conflict → median estimate.
"Other" resolves YES if winner not listed as option.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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