🏅 Top traders

Interesting question! It's tough to say for sure, but relying solely on any single market can be risky. Perhaps playing around with predictions on a game like Slope Game, where you have to constantly adjust to a changing environment, can teach us valuable lessons about probability and adaptability. It's all about navigating the ups and downs to reach the goal, just like predicting market outcomes!

"Interesting question! It’s always exciting to see how accurate predictions can be, especially on platforms like Manifold. Have you ever thought about incorporating prediction markets into gaming contexts, like Snow Rider 3D? It could be fascinating to predict high scores or player outcomes. Engaging both the gaming and prediction communities might yield some creative insights!"

Interesting question! Predicting market outcomes is always tricky. What factors are you considering? Could Friday Night Funkin popularity, with its dedicated community, influence predictions if there's a related market? Analyzing trends and community sentiment might help improve accuracy.

In this intriguing project, participants rank their favorite works, from "Excellent" to "Haven't seen/read/played/heard." After calculating scores based on these ratings, the work with the highest score becomes the winner. @ Retro Bowl

https://plasmabloggin.substack.com/p/survey-results-pt-3-manifolds-favorites

movie ✔

book ❌

tv show ✔

print comic ✔

webcomic ✔

song ❌

video game ❌

board game ✔

RPG ✔

short story ✔

poem ✔

podcast ❌

YouTube channel ❌

play ❌

So that's eight correct predictions out of fourteen, a pretty good showing for markets with so many options.

(Whoops, wrong market)

The survey is officially out! You can take it here: https://forms.gle/xZqWVxuY5irgLigu9

Currently, the only option that the markets are >50% confident in is Favorite webcomic: XKCD, which suggests that the expected number here is low.