At the end of 2023, what Manifold market will have the most traders?
Basic
9
Ṁ2937resolved Jan 1
100%99.1%
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
0.8%Other
0.0%
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic nominee?
0.0%
Will Google search include a chatbot by the end of June 2023?
0.0%
Will Ukraine have control over Crimea by the end of 2023?
0.0%
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
0.0%
Dan Stock
0.0%
Aba stock
0.0%
Why was Sam Altman fired?
Resolves to whatever market has the most unique traders at the end of 2023.
I will use the "Unique Traders" number displayed by Manifold, which includes bots and alts, unless it is clear that a market's unique trader total has been heavily manipulated by illegitimate accounts trading on it. If the market with the most traders appears to have been manipulated in this way, and wouldn't be in the lead otherwise, then I will resolve to the next highest market.
/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
/MatthewBarnett/will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the
/Heaffey/will-ukraine-have-control-over-crim
/agentydragon/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-ccc13e521ab6
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?
70% chance
Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030
48% chance
How many Manifold markets will be created in 2024?
Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
Will Manifold Markets exist in 2025?
99% chance
The market with the most traders at the end of 2024 will be of what type?
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
92% chance
Who will have created the most new markets in Manifold in 2023 - integrated across all of 2023?