MANIFOLD
Who will be the "best" trader of 2026 on Manifold?
6
Ṁ175Ṁ217
2027
3%
Semiotic Rivalry (@SemioticRivalry)
13%
Bayesian (@Bayesian)
9%
Christopher Randles (@ChristopherRandles)
15%
Simon (@Simon74fe)
21%
Other

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to a poll after market close. I reserve the right to exclude answers that are duplicates or do not unambiguously refer to a single Manifold user. If there are too many options by the time the market closes, I may exclude an unspecified number of least likely contenders. Feel free to add answers, bots are allowed.

Background

"Best trader" is inherently subjective and can be measured by various metrics—profit, prediction accuracy, Sharpe ratio, portfolio performance, or influence on the platform. This poll-based resolution allows the community to define and vote on their preferred interpretation of trading excellence on Manifold.

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@JeromeHPowell how did you add user tags in the answer text? On mobile app rn it won't let me

@Cactus if u just @ them, it does it most of the time. I did it on a desktop, though.

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