Dan Stock (Permanent)
2030
86%
chance

Yes = Buy
No = Short
This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see top right after you've made a bet) when you believe your side has over-corrected and buy in/short it again once it's over-corrected to the other side. Essentially, it's meant to function like a traditional stock market.

Read more: https://help.manifold.markets/manifold-101/why-would-you-sell-your-shares

Close date updated to 2030-12-31 11:59 pm

Jan 2, 1:08am: Dan Stock (Permanent) → Dan Stock (Permanent)

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Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 81%

I was a skeptical of Dan in the beggining but this should be at 90% straight up

FrostyTV avatar
Frosty TVis predicting YES at 80%

THE GOAT

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac Kingbought Ṁ0 of YES

Not looking good for Dan. The market seems to think he's gonna drop by June.

Sex avatar
Sexis predicting YES at 83%

@IsaacKing ur mom

AlfieBennet avatar
Alfie Bennetis predicting NO at 80%

@IsaacKing Blasphemy. Dan stock will never fall

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 80%

@Sex I wouldn't test him on that

Traveel avatar
Traveel

How do you short it?

YourHero avatar
Your Herois predicting YES at 78%

@Traveel Upper right, click the NO button, input Amount, confirm below it.

To profit from shorting, the stock needs to go even lower before you sell.

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 78%

Here's a market related to Dan

DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacent

I think Evil is trying to communicate through me.

EVIL, like this post if you're not done with Dan stock. Like my other post if you are done with Dan stock.

Martinitis avatar
Martouabought Ṁ0 of YES

@DalibanAdjacent You're letting him manipulate this market by entertaining his hate for Dan.

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 78%
DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacent

@Martinitis Let's find out!

Evil: Am I "letting you manipulate this market by entertaining your hate for Dan?"

YES = like on this comment.

DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacent

@Martinitis Evil: Am I "letting you manipulate this market by entertaining your hate for Dan?"

NO = like on this comment.

DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacent

I think Evil is trying to communicate through me.

EVIL, like this post if you're done with the Dan stock. Like my next post if you're not done with Dan stock.

DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacentis predicting YES at 75%

Dan's awesome, I like Dan.

YourHero avatar
Your Herois predicting YES at 75%

Evil actually won. THis stock is permanently mid-tier due to people camping the next Evil short.

BettersonMcgee avatar
DoppioFrogbought Ṁ100 of YES

@YourHero Dan will say something funny and break the spell. Its that easy. Never doubt him again

YourHero avatar
Your Herois predicting YES at 74%

@BettersonMcgee The Dan's true value is being suppressed since people can buy Dan NO @75 and then sell it when Evil tanks it to 50 to double their money.

So, instead of all Dan Fans profiting as the love of Dan corrects the market back to the 80s, the power traders siphon off Evil's money to themselves and then stock up on more NO to repeat once Evil shorts again. Thus, Evil has damaged the value of Dan.

ByornannEllis avatar
Byornann Ellisis predicting YES at 75%

As soon as Dan returns from whatever business he's doing, he's gonna shoot right back up to where he was before

Butidigress avatar
Butidigressis predicting NO at 71%
IsaacKing avatar
Isaac King

I was curious to see how a non-permanent market would act on something like this.

/IsaacKing/will-the-dan-stock-market-be-at-75

Simon1551 avatar
Simonsold Ṁ185 of YES

Honestly I can't believe this market is estimated between 69% and 75% with @Evil banned with all those no shares and @DalibanAdjacent basically controlling the market no point in buying shares here imo.

Butidigress avatar
Butidigresssold Ṁ161 of YES

@Simon1551 Evil can still short. He's just banned from creating comments, posts and markets. He was here the 28th last time. I'm expecting more shorts from him

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 70%

@Butidigress they have never sold a single share since the beginning

DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacentis predicting YES at 73%

@Simon1551 I undertand your concerns, but I want to reassure you that Dan stock is for the people. Dan at 73 is an unprecedented opportunity to build generational wealth.

Here's m500 to help a few people dip their toes into the Dan waters, it's not so scary once you give it a try. https://manifold.markets/link/1V0z1nSH

Simon1551 avatar
Simonsold Ṁ335 of YES

@DalibanAdjacent Very generous of you. Thanks

Simon1551 avatar
Simonbought Ṁ432 of YES
DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacentis predicting YES at 73%

Some more Dan action for your prediction perusal.

memestiny avatar
memestiny

Duration has been lengthened.

Sex avatar
Sexis predicting YES at 65%

Yo, can someone resolve this market, all my cash is locked up, on god!

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 65%

@Sex I think he's going to change the closing date not resolve

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 75%

Is @memestiny going to resolve this market once it closes?

RSWats avatar
RSWatsbought Ṁ0 of YES

Thanks for another sale @Evil

Smeth avatar
Smethbought Ṁ1,360 of YES

Hello, peasants.

DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacentis predicting YES at 77%

As a majority stakeholder in Dan Stock, I'm proud to bring you this exciting new market for your predicting pleasure.

Duno avatar
Duno

Dan is a robust growth stock.

Pherret avatar
Pherretis predicting YES at 75%

im slowly selling Yes shares to piss people off in chat, stay mad

AndrewSouthern avatar
Andrew Southernbought Ṁ5 of YES

@Pherret I don't think anyone cares that much

Pherret avatar
Pherretsold Ṁ37 of YES

i wished people didnt care this much about play money too but this isnt the case

goodpurpl avatar
goodpurplbought Ṁ40 of YES

macro dan own this land

Pherret avatar
Pherretsold Ṁ75 of YES

waiting for evil to crash the no market once he sells everything off

DennisSpiero avatar
Dennis Spierois predicting YES at 75%

@Pherret If evil sells his position Dan surges to 200% so why would you get out now then?

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 77%

Was @Evil an experiment?

DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacentis predicting YES at 73%

Dan is the type of stock where a working class family can tuck away a few shares each paycheck and know that someday they'll be able to pass it down to their kids for a better life. It's bluechip, it's a nestegg, and I've never seen such an incredible buying opportunity.

123,000 shares of "No" in the past few days and it barely even made a dent.

Sex avatar
Sexis predicting YES at 74%

Why is the stock closing Dec 31st

Martinitis avatar
Martoua

@Sex Maybe evil found a way to change it. Maybe memestiny made a mistake. idk

DennisSpiero avatar
Dennis Spierois predicting YES at 76%

@Martin5e0b memestiny had other markets that he resolved once they expire so if Dan stock is 51% He probably resolves it as a yes which would mean big payday for people

Martinitis avatar
Martouais predicting YES at 76%

@DennisSpiero You're wrong. This market is supposed to be permanent. Only 1 permanent has been resolved by @memestiny and that was because it was a duplicate market.

yaboi69 avatar
yaboi69is predicting YES at 76%

He can reopen and/or extend it (as long as he doesn’t actually resolve it), so I wouldn’t worry for now. (Converting it into a non-permanent market might be interesting though, but a fairness nightmare.)

Butidigress avatar
Butidigressis predicting YES at 76%

@yaboi69 I didn't know you could reopen. Good to know!

Martinitis avatar
Martouasold Ṁ267 of YES

@memestiny "closes Dec 31"

DennisSpiero avatar
Dennis Spierois predicting YES at 76%

:

OliverG5da3 avatar
Oliver G.is predicting NO at 77%

Evil has more NO positions than all of us combined. I almost wanna bet on him eventually dropping everything and bringing Dan to 100% 🙊

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 77%

@OliverG5da3 it would

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 77%

@OliverG5da3 well not 100% i don't think that's possible but 99.8 of something

DalibanAdjacent avatar
Daliban Adjacentbought Ṁ30 of YES

I'm here to reassure all retail Dan investors that this stock is safe. The fundamentals are strong, the track record is unblemished, and there's nothing to be concerned with moving forward. The Daliban Adjacent Treasury is a heavy believer in Dan and until this stock is at 100, there's always upside.

DennisSpiero avatar
Dennis Spierois predicting YES at 75%

With Evil's short position being investigated I will foresee Dan going back to 80%

Butidigress avatar
Butidigressbought Ṁ100 of YES

@DennisSpiero Evil banned PepeLaugh

Butidigress avatar
Butidigressbought Ṁ60 of YES

He can still short though

DennisSpiero avatar
Dennis Spierois predicting YES at 77%

@Butidigress There are plenty investors that put buy orders in place whenever Evil decide load up on more shorts

Evil avatar
Evilbought Ṁ100 of NO

The fact when all these FACTS stand about Dan and yal still voting him up is insane. It’s cus all yal care about is money and he always gonna be satisfied and find second place with that. Light a fire under his ass. Teach him the idea of NO.

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 73%

@Evil To be fair I only vote to what's popular in this case I don't really care about Dan but his market has a lot of value so it would be a waste to let personal opinion get in the way of profit

Evil avatar
Evilis predicting NO at 76%

@Simon1551 Yes yes I know money makes your world go round. I appreciate your words, though your actions are still trash. Second to even the turdlicking that DAN does on a daily basis. NO.

Evil avatar
Evilis predicting NO at 68%

When I think of Dan, I imagine the failed academic stuck inside a failing community college math department getting outdone in his craft by Africans and Indians who barely speak his language and he don’t understand why so he is subconsciously extra hard or critical of “African or Indian” Americans that he view as privileged because he had everything handed to him and never knew how to ask for anything he demands on any stage to be validated just because HE showed up by the department let him go because he wanna mouth breathe on some 21 yr Asian chick neck while she correcting answers on her worksheet. NO.

Evil avatar
Evilbought Ṁ100 of NO

Son Dan ain’t never take a risk in his life. The biggest risk he ever took was stepping in the deeper end of the puddle on date night with his abusive granada girlfriend who he couldn’t dump and constantly berated by when he served as a the “bring him, he’s 21” guy. No.

Evil avatar
Evilis predicting NO at 73%

Bad morning, Dan. When I think of Dan, I think of the third wheel that could have been the first wheel but he dropped the ball talking too much because it’s his first successful game night at the bar and the girl got bored so he sleeping on floor while his BBC escort soul brother slams the karma out of his self pity and turn it into pure secular devil worshiping cope for his sadistic hedonistic needs. No.

DavidChee avatar
SirSaltyis predicting NO at 75%

@Evil banned from posting. Just because this market exists doesn't mean you can send multiple abusive comments towards an individual.

Am also going to be looking into where you randomly got 20,000 mana from out of seemingly nowhere.

Sex avatar
Sexis predicting YES at 75%

@DavidChee NAHH you're in blinkerton for banning him

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DavidChee avatar
SirSaltyis predicting NO at 75%

@DavidChee Well, looks like the big influx of mana was because Evil purchased it, so it's all legit. The ban only prevents Evil from posting new content so they are free to continue using their funds (trade, donate, claim sub) which I haven't touched.

Sex avatar
Sexis predicting YES at 77%

@DavidChee So there's no warnings? Shouldn't it be temporary for his first punishment?

OrbiterVoltron avatar
Orbiter Voltronis predicting YES at 77%

@DavidChee lmao this guy is a schizo poster and he schizo donates $1000's to destiny during streams. he might be insane but he mostly harmless lol. I think most of us have just learned to live with him at this point.

DavidChee avatar
SirSaltyis predicting NO at 75%

@Sex I will probably unban some users once we have user-led moderation set up so group admins can ban problematic users from specific markets/groups. My goal is eventually to not have to do any centralised moderation besides banning illegal content.

I will usually provide a warning, but in this specific instance, I made the judgement call that they had already written enough comments and it was obvious they knew they were crossing the line.

BettersonMcgee avatar
DoppioFrogbought Ṁ90 of YES

Shoutouts to evil fossil for the discount on dan stock

Evil avatar
Evilbought Ṁ1,111 of NO

Dan Will Do No Battle of Words with Me.

He will always run to his Masters. Begone Demon.

BettersonMcgee avatar
DoppioFrogis predicting YES at 65%

@Evil Thanks man

Evil avatar
Evilbought Ṁ1,111 of NO

There is not a S I N G L E thing except being a fckin middle man too inept to actually stand his ground against me. That and Guns. Classic appropriator. Honestly don't think his brain was able to kaleidoscope out a single unique calculation for itself in terms of patterned behavior. Or speech. All he can do is appeal to his own Masters. What's wrong with that? The institution is ran by the BBC, all your contextual information belong to us. Bad Night, Dan.

You will Not Survive my Psychic Onslaught.

Evil avatar
Evilbought Ṁ1,111 of NO

When I think of Dan, I imagine the construction site foreman out near the job site who relocated in the city because the stimulus bill supplied myriad meticulously delayed projects who burn out on OT and lets his wife get BBC S U P R E M A C Y while he justify his manhood because he willing to sleep in a porta potty. No. Gn.

Evil avatar
Evilis predicting NO at 74%

When I think of Dan, I think of the struggling middleman manager who gets off when he remembers that time he ruined his ex friends marriage 12 years ago everytime he buys a hooker to cover up his fear of bbc domination. No.

Evil avatar
Evilbought Ṁ5,555 of NO

Stay Second, Nerd.

Evil avatar
Evilbought Ṁ100 of NO

RE-UP

Evil avatar
Evilis predicting NO at 75%

Even though my NO means No, it means Yes? This system xD

RSWats avatar
RSWatsbought Ṁ0 of NO

@Evil Smartest Dan hater

Sex avatar
Sexis predicting YES at 75%

@Evil Seems like this system took inspiration from MrGirl's views on consent

Sex avatar
Sexis predicting YES at 75%

I just bought 5 penjamins with this profit

yaboi69 avatar
yaboi69is predicting YES at 71%

Just a random note. It can be harder to make big price moves that pencil out here than you may think, even if you have deep pockets. Especially with quick orders. Especially if the market is not kept in check by a looming resolution with objective criteria. If anyone is super bored and interested in that, they may want to read the technical docs on how the bets work and check out messy experiments other users have done here, e.g.: https://manifold.markets/dreev/biden-quiescence. Stay safe and don’t ruin yourself.

Kelkesz avatar
Kelkeszbought Ṁ85 of YES

It's gonna go back to 80% in couple minutes it's buy buy buy time

Sex avatar
Sexbought Ṁ416 of YES

Evil in blinkerton with these shorts

Simon1551 avatar
Simonis predicting YES at 76%

@Sex W name 😂

Evil avatar
Evilbought Ṁ5,555 of NO

?

Butidigress avatar
Butidigressbought Ṁ0 of NO

@Evil Go on NODDERS

Sex avatar
Sex

Cope Evil

Sex avatar
Sexbought Ṁ0 of YES

No.