Resolves to YES if Neuralink implants a chip into a human brain before Jan 1, 2025. I will rely on official statements or demos, or highly credible media reports. It is NOT necessary that the patient survives, or that the device even functions properly. The resolution is based solely on whether the device is implanted and connected to any living human brain.
In the case that this is ambiguous, such as rumors that the project is underway, but without publicly accessible proof, I will use my judgement to resolve. I will not bet.
Dec 1, 10:05am: Will Neuralink implant a chip in a human brain by the end of 2024? → Will a Neuralink device be implanted in a human brain by the end of 2024?
@mkualquiera - I'm not exactly calling Neuralink's PR team sus, but I can't find any record of any active FDA clinical trials sponsored by Neuralink for any brain-computer interface devices. Of course, PR team might move quicker than FDA database updates, or I could have been using the wrong search terms. (I'll check next week and see if there's more info)
I'll admit I'm a bit vague on Neuralink's specific technical details, but I was under the impression the device was more likely to be like, an internal EEG net than an actual chip. I suppose if it has a hardware controller? But I see no reason to make that internal.
I guess what I'm asking is, does it have to be a chip specifically, or is that meant to indicate any implantable device?
@AndrewHartman thanks, I've updated it to use the more broad terminology I've seen in reporting about this that just refers to a "Neuralink device", which in any kind of implanted interface.
@PhillipConstantine In that case I'm pretty bullish on them getting some sort of human trial in that timeframe.
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