I made this market before and it happened again within 24 hours. This market resolves YES if an attack like this happens a third time before 2026.
Here's the text from the previous market:
I don't think I've ever heard of an attack like the recent Lebanon pager explosions.
This resolves YES if there is any attack anywhere in the world involving:
At least 100 devices
Rigged, hacked or otherwise deliberately made to cause injury or death
The devices appear to be peaceful devices like phones or pagers, not weapons
Part of a coordinated attack by one group against another (i.e. 100 isolated murder attempts don't count)
Before Jan 1st 2026 (market closes later in case details take a while to be confirmed)
I'm also curious if this has ever happened before the Lebanon pager explosions, and if there's a name for this kind of attack. Let me know in the comments.