Preface / Inspiration:

• There are a lot of questions on Manifold about whether or not we'll see sentience, general A.I., and a lot of other nonsense and faith-based questions which rely on the market maker's interpretation and often close at some far distant point in the future when a lot of us will be dead. This is an effort to create meaningful bets on important A.I. questions which are referenced by a third party.

Market Description

Market Resolution Criteria

Basically, I see two drug discovery leaderboards that I could find:

• https://tdcommons.ai/benchmark/drugcombo_group/drugcomb_css/

• https://leaderboard.allenai.org/drug_combo/submissions/public

These leaderboards only have one submission each. This leads me to believe that the market criteria should be, "will either of these leaderboards recieve a submission which is equal to or over 1.3X the top scoring submission? If so Resolves YES, otherwise NO." Usually I use the leftmost column of a leaderboard.