Lex Fridman Will Not Create a Market on Manifold
Basic
42
Ṁ67k
resolved Jun 8
Resolved
NO

@LexFridman will not actually create a market on Manifold by close date.

Resolutions:

NO: Means double negative on the market question, meaning he WILL create a market.

YES: Yes to the market question, meaning he will NOT create a market.

N/A: Too many people get mad at me for making a double negative market.

Update 20230608: the account must be verified independently by Lex Fridman on Twitter or a previously owned public account on a known social network or website such as MIT or his personal blog to resolve as YES so we can all be certain it is the actual person (or designee). Will not accept a fake account as resolution obviously.

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Resolving NO based upon this comment from manifold admin. Direct all further complaints and questions to SG if found to be incorrect. https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/will-i-be-convinced-that-the-manifo?r=UHNldWRvbnltb3VzQWx0#h42LTxIkqWvFdN03IiF4

predicted NO

@PatrickDelaney I am not unhappy this never didn’t work out the way it wasn’t not expected to. Cheers!

predicted YES

Without a doubt this market's criteria has been met. It should be resolved @PatrickDelaney

predicted NO

Since I can foresee arguments that we're not sure if that account is the real Lex Fridman, I'd like to point out that we have the account specified in the description and the account has already created a market. Resolves NO.

@NamesAreHard I have asked the account to post this on their Twitter to resolve it. That way we can find out if it's the real Lex Fridman quickly and easily. Updating the description.

@PatrickDelaney That update does seem to significantly alter what this market is about

@JimHays how so?

@PatrickDelaney lex creates market = old description. Lex creates market and also posts it on his twitter account as an AND statement = new description. Very different things. Why should him advertising manifold be a condition now?

predicted YES

^ plus, as NamesAreHard pointed out, the market description specified Lex the Manifold account, not Lex the person, which may be different

@PseudonymousAlt other accounts claimed to be destiny in the past, they were not. This update clarifies we are looking for the real slim shady to stand up not a fake account. It would be ridiculous to expect me to resolve based upon fraud.

predicted YES

@PatrickDelaney The admins confirmed this is Lex's account

@PseudonymousAlt link please?

@PatrickDelaney ah I see the link.

See also the more ambitious version:

And give your insights on Lex's market!

@LexFridman would you mind posting this on your Twitter so I can know for sure that it is indeed Lex Fridman? We have had impersonation on this site previously.

@LexFridman I see your email had been pre-verified by Manifold admin, so never mind, thanks. However if you do share a market on Twitter, you can get 250 Manna per user if you use the share link. You could easily become the number one ranked sharer on Manifold, there is a leaderboard for that. Pamp it!

Lex has much love
For AI and robots above
But a market on Manifold?
Nah, that's just too bold.

so if he doesn't he won't so you shouldn't won't not resolve no?

@DesTiny No, not that I shouldn't, but if I don't, you won't not go the opposite direction. Does that help?

predicted NO

@PatrickDelaney … n… no?

predicted NO

@MattCWilson 😂 LoL love it

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