Lex Fridman Will Not Create a Market on Manifold
42
830Ṁ67kresolved Jun 8
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
@LexFridman will not actually create a market on Manifold by close date.
Resolutions:
NO: Means double negative on the market question, meaning he WILL create a market.
YES: Yes to the market question, meaning he will NOT create a market.
N/A: Too many people get mad at me for making a double negative market.
Update 20230608: the account must be verified independently by Lex Fridman on Twitter or a previously owned public account on a known social network or website such as MIT or his personal blog to resolve as YES so we can all be certain it is the actual person (or designee). Will not accept a fake account as resolution obviously.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ923 | |
| 2 | Ṁ167 | |
| 3 | Ṁ147 | |
| 4 | Ṁ80 | |
| 5 | Ṁ52 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any Manifold founder go on the Lex Fridman podcast before 2026?
24% chance
Will Manifold allow market creators to noticeably prohibit themselves from trading on their own markets?
6% chance
Will Manifold ever stop misresolving their own markets?
82% chance
Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?
20% chance
Will Sam Altman create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
8% chance
Will Bloomberg create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
13% chance
Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
40% chance
Will Noah Smith create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
40% chance
Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
35% chance
Will Stefan Schubert create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
70% chance