What will I think after the election?
Standard
3
Ṁ150
Nov 14
57%
chance

After the election, will I think the following thesis was accurate?

“Harris was a fairly compelling candidate, especially when placed in unavoidable contrast with Trump, but the socioeconomic tides caused repeated drifts in sentiment towards Trump”

At market creation, I currently believe this to be accurate. This market is obviously subjective, but I will be open to arguments about the underlying belief. I will not bet on the market myself.

If any part of the thesis becomes inaccurate, I’d resolve no.

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