Any word or phrase that Donald Trump says or writes will resolve yes. However proof must be in the comments. If I see something I will post the proof, but I won't go out of my way to find every speech he did to find something. IF you are adding a word or phrase and you want multiple things to count please put a slash between the words. If there is legislation he "Wrote" I will probably not count it unless their is evidence he actually wrote it. The writing is more for truth social and less for legislation. I will wait two weeks after the election to let people try and find proof of him saying something.
He must say it after April 7.
I reserve the right to N/A answers at my discretion. I will do this for troll answers that will obviously resolve yes
Answers to double check
Unbelievable
Believe me
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@Qoiuoiuoiu Based on my comment from some time ago, it seems like no one pointed out anything else so resolving the rest No:
Don't try to add NEW EVIDENCE, but if you can show using the existing comment section that some answer would resolve Yes, try your best. I'll come back to this market in a day or two and resolve everything else No.
Check this out for Trump words/phrases for all of 2025 https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-sa
It seems as if the resolution of this market put my balance from -91K to -169K? It’s just about the only thing in my balance log since yesterday… it’s unexpected to me since nigh all my predictions here were right, unless I’m missing some huge loan being paid back here or elsewhere, seems like a bug
@JoshuaB I forwarded this issue to the team. It looks like it was caused by loans being turned back on.
Basically, the system 'paid back' your 5700 mana loan that you have against the whole market....for each and every answer that resolved.
I reviewed every unresolved answer and searched the comment section for them. I left comments where I found proof to resolve Yes. I'm bringing together the lingering details in one place to hash out the final resolutions.
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Key factors affecting resolution decisions:
Respecting the creator's intent that the words need to be exact
Respecting the creator's intent that HE needs to write/say it
The proof has to be in the comments before "two weeks after the election" (most of the latest round of submissions were made on 18 November, which is just inside the window)
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Numerous answers resolved Yes, some were borderline:
"left wing fascism" - the quote was from a few days before the answer was added (I resolved it Yes but I will correct it to No.....)
"disgrace(ful)" - the quote was from before the answer was added
"bogus" - the quote was from before the answer was added
I'm going to say none of these qualified for a Yes resolution because it would have been trivial and pointless, but they could have all seen new proof later on. No one seems to have shown additional proof for these.
"they tried to kill me (or any variation)" - It needs to be exact! This is not even close. The description says to put different versions with a slash. This is too far away from being close to count for the purposes of the market because the spirit of the market is the text needs to match exactly or extremely closely.
"among us" - This is a social media post but it is explicitly quoting another source. In the spirit of "he has to write it", I would not resolve Yes based on this.
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As it stands, I think all the borderline ones listed above, and every other answer not already resolved Yes would resolve No.
Don't try to add NEW EVIDENCE, but if you can show using the existing comment section that some answer would resolve Yes, try your best. I'll come back to this market in a day or two and resolve everything else No.
@Eliza Comments below have links and everything, I can paste them up here if that would make it easier
@Qoiuoiuoiu Alright, the market criteria clearly state that the evidence must be in the comment section. I will do as many as I see. The others should resolve No?
@JasonThomas The written text says this specifically, and the description says posts online by 'him' count, so I'll resolve that one Yes.
@Kraalnaxx I’m worried that the answer says it was added 5 months ago but the speech is from May 25. Dunno how to check the exact date
@JoshuaB @Kraalnaxx @JamesF
Graph indicates added 31 May. Can hover on each day so not more than a day different from this.
@Qoiuoiuoiu I'm resolving Yes, the date is after April 7. The market description doesn't say it has to be added before he says it.
I've reconsidered after seeing some other answers like this, see my other comment at the top shortly.