Can I go 2 weeks after the election without finding out who won?
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resolved Nov 12
Resolved
NO

I really think i can do it.

I will stop listening to podcasts and following polls 5 weeks (October 1) before the election. I will pause my twitter. I will tell my coworkers and family not to tell me and avoid looking at newspapers. I will not watch any TV. I will not turn on the radio. I will camp for the night of the election outside of the very blue city where I live so I don’t hear celebrations. I will work from home for 3-4 business days after the election. I will not look at YouTube or tiktok.

Not betting in this market so I am not biased.

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I'm impressed she lasted so long. It would be easy for someone who's happy being offline for a couple of weeks, but it was immediately clear that @tftftftftftftftftftftftf is not that kind of person.

@JackStennett Did not try hard enough.

Obvious profit, thx everyone!

:( what happened

Now that you know, if you feel like sharing, what is your reaction?

@TheAllMemeingEye
Out: Nate silver
In: French Whales on Polymarket

F

I wonder how many others outside of Manifold are doing this experiment and how many are still succeeding.

@ADings nobody can beat the North Sentinelese at this game 💪

🤯

Great attempt!

Traders, I found out 2 hours before the silent meditation retreat!! 2 hours!! If I had just not been browsing for antique books!!

I really thought Kamala had won because as I was leaving sf I saw the civic center was illuminated in blue. Plus people in TX didn’t seem happy at all.

I posted about it on YouTube but I just wanna thank all the yes traders for believing in me.

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf fuck. i should have retracted my bet

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf If not the books, something else. I can’t imagine not bumping into something like this.

thanks for the fun market!

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf If you picked up a false impression, did you really "find out"? (I haven't watched the video yet, this is just light-hearted poking)

on the plus side you won’t have trying to dodge finding out about the results at the back of your mind during the retreat

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf oh no! good effort though - one week is a long time!

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf Damn that's just unlucky.

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf it's still impressive you have gone 1 week without knowing the results 🙂 And it's really odd how you found out 😅

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