How will the S&P 500 react to the 2024 election?
66
1kṀ10k
resolved Nov 6
100%92%
Trump wins, S&P increases
1.2%
Harris wins, S&P increases
1.5%
Harris wins, S&P decreases
6%
Trump wins, S&P decreases

This market considers the election result and the change in the price of the S&P 500 between its close on Monday, November 4th 2024 to the time the race is called by AP.

Please suggest the best source to find stock data by the minute in case it's close and the election is called while the stock market is open.

How this would've resolved in

2020: Biden, S&P increases ($3,310.24 to $3,583.04)

2016: Trump, S&P 500 increases ($2,131.52 to $2,131.56)

2012: Obama, S&P 500 increases ($1,417.26 to $1,428.27)

2008: Obama, S&P 500 increases ($966.30 to $1,001.84)

2004: Bush, S&P 500 increases ($1,130.51 to $1,130.54)

2000: Bush, S&P 500 decreases ($1,432.19 to ~$1375 when Supreme Court decided/Gore conceded)

Quick check assuming election was called Tuesday night/Wednesday morning

1996: Clinton, up

1992: Clinton, down

1988: Bush, up

1984: Reagan, up

1980: Reagan, up

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