Will any former Conservative leader endorse any Conservative leadership candidate?
11
Ṁ1057
Nov 3
58%
chance

Resolves YES if any person who has been a permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party provides a clear endorsement of any of the current leadership candidates that remain in the race. The endorsement must take place BEFORE the candidate is locked in as the winner, either:

  • because they have won

  • All their competitors have stood down

  • Their odds on this leadership market have settled at above 90% for longer than three days.

Living former Conservative leaders:

  • John Major

  • William Hague

  • Iain Duncan Smith

  • Michael Howard

  • David Cameron

  • Theresa May

  • Boris Johnson

  • Liz Truss

  • Rishi Sunak

Current leadership candidates:

  • Kemi Badenoch

  • Robert Jenrick

  • Tom Tugendhat

  • James Cleverly

  • Mel Stride.

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opened a Ṁ250 NO at 40% order

Created off the back of a discussion about former leadership endorsements and how these might be hard to get and also net negative with an increasingly anti-establishment party membership.