Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?
17
Ṁ260Ṁ771
2029
45%
Nigel Farage
34%
Boris Johnson
32%
Robert Jenrick
30%
Tom Tugendhat
29%
Katie Lam
23%
Kemi Badenoch
22%
James Cleverly
12%
Priti Patel
10%
Chris Philip
10%
Claire Coutinho
10%
Laura Trott

The next UK general election is scheduled for no later than the 15th August 2029. Following the huge defeat of the Conservative Party giving Labour a majority of 174 seats following the 2024 election, the Conservatives are holding a leadership election to find a successor to Rishi Sunak.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Kemi Badenoch is now the leader of the Conservative party

how will answers that are not the leader going into the next election be resolved?