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MANIFOLD
If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ109
2030
55%
Green
33%
Liberal Democrats
4%
Your Party
8%
Other

  • Update 2026-05-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the UK PM after the next election is from Labour, Reform, or Conservatives, the market resolves N/A (all trades are cancelled and mana is returned). The market only resolves to one of the listed options if a PM from that specific party wins.

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Is this determined by who gets the highest vote count other than the big parties you mentioned? Otherwise all options are losing options lol

@PolSimNerd It resolves N/A and you get your money back if it's none of them.

So:

Buy Green, Green PM: win mana

Buy Green, Liberal Dem PM: lose mana

Buy Green, Labour PM: market N/A, as if you never traded