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MANIFOLD
Biggest AfD–CDU/CSU poll gap in 2026?
13
Ṁ1kṀ8.7k
Dec 31
14.49 %
expected
0.8%
7 - 8.9%
0.9%
9 - 10.9%
0.9%
11 - 12.9%
64%
13 - 14.9%
26%
15 - 16%
8%
Above 16%

Resolves to largest lead AfD holds over CDU/CSU in any single national poll published Jan 1 – Dec 31, 2026 by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, Allensbach, Forsa, Verian, YouGov, INSA, or GMS
Gap = AfD% − CDU/CSU%
As of market creation, the largest gap so far is 7 points (INSA poll from May 16, 2026)

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