
1
This market will stay open until it resolves. Resolves YES if a referendum passes, NO if it fails, N/A if a referendum becomes irrelevant.
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11 YES payouts
Ṁ56
Ṁ38
Ṁ18
Ṁ15
Ṁ15
Ṁ14
Ṁ6















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When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?56%
Will the Scottish National Party get more than 50% of the vote share in Scotland in the next UK general election?10%
At the Scottish National Party's "special conference", will the party cancel or significantly walk back their plans to fight the next UK general election as a "de facto referendum"?67%
In the next Northern Ireland Assembly election, will nationalists win at least as many seats as unionists?70%
Will a majority of voters in South Australia vote YES on the Australian Indigenous Voice referendum?50%
Will a majority of voters in Western Australia vote YES on the Australian Indigenous Voice referendum?50%
Related markets
When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?56%
Will the Scottish National Party get more than 50% of the vote share in Scotland in the next UK general election?10%
At the Scottish National Party's "special conference", will the party cancel or significantly walk back their plans to fight the next UK general election as a "de facto referendum"?67%
In the next Northern Ireland Assembly election, will nationalists win at least as many seats as unionists?70%
Will a majority of voters in South Australia vote YES on the Australian Indigenous Voice referendum?50%
Will a majority of voters in Western Australia vote YES on the Australian Indigenous Voice referendum?50%