If Labour wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ1302034
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?
35% chance
Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?
84% chance
If Reform wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?
20% chance
Will Labour announce a leadership election before 1st June 2026?
17% chance
Will the next Scottish independence referendum pass?
53% chance
When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?
50% chance
Will Labour win a by election before the next UK general election?
78% chance
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?
16% chance
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
34% chance