So we need to hear 5 independent credible accounts of money that was donated by FTX/FTX Foundation or other assocatied orgs either bieng frozen or officially threatened to be frozen by July 2023.
So money sent back doesn't count unless someone was legally threatened that it would be frozen if they didn't or that it would be clawed back if they didn't.
Edits:
This includes clawbacks.
Nov 12, 1:56am: Will there be more than 5 accounts of money donationed by FTX/ FTX Foundation or associated orgs being frozen in accounts before July 2023? → Will there be more than 5 accounts of money donated by FTX/ FTX Foundation or associated orgs being frozen in accounts before July 2023?
Mar 6, 3:17pm: Will there be more than 5 accounts of money donated by FTX/ FTX Foundation or associated orgs being frozen in accounts before July 2023? → Will there be >5 stories of money donated by FTX/FTX Foundation (etc) being frozen or threatened to be before July 2023?
@qumeric I think there were < 5 clawbacks from FTX (I am not sure if they even qualify here, but in any case, there were not enough). Related: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13522/ftx-foundation-freezeseizureclawback-demand/
@PeterWildeford I guess that if they lost any court case or just gave the money that would be frozen?
@NathanpmYoung If they sent the money, I would definitely not call that "frozen", but the "This includes clawbacks" provision in the description is confusing. Can you either clarify the question as including money that was either frozen or transferred, or as frozen money only.
Based on reading https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/o8B9kCkwteSqZg9zc/thoughts-on-legal-concerns-surrounding-the-ftx-situation it appears that transactions that occurred in the last 90 days before the bankruptcy filing are typically subject to clawback (these are called "preference claims"). However, there are many reasons such a claim might not succeed (see the comments).
Arb (with imperfectly matched resolution criteria) with:
https://manifold.markets/SpencerGreenberg/will-projects-which-received-grants
https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/will-5-of-an-ftx-grant-be-clawed-ba