Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
29%
chance
Sort by:
FlawlessTrain avatar
Flawless Train
is predicting YES at 26%
jack avatar
Jack
bought Ṁ500 of NO
jack avatar
Jack
bought Ṁ500 of YES
jack avatar
Jack
is predicting YES at 27%
Jason avatar
EliezerYudkowsky avatar
Eliezer Yudkowsky
is predicting NO at 26%
Jason avatar
Jason
is predicting YES at 25%
jack avatar
Jack
is predicting YES at 27%
jack avatar
Jack
is predicting YES at 27%
DavidChee avatar
JamesBabcock avatar
James Babcock
sold Ṁ31 of NO
JamesBabcock avatar
James Babcock
is predicting YES at 29%
JamesBabcock avatar
James Babcock
sold Ṁ10 of YES
SpencerGreenberg avatar
JamesBabcock avatar
James Babcock
bought Ṁ28 of NO
EliezerYudkowsky avatar
Eliezer Yudkowsky
is predicting NO at 20%
ManifoldDream avatar