Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?

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[SCOTUS] Obergefell v. Hodges overturned by EOY 2026

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bought Ṁ50 YES

"There was once a time where a majority of Republicans, albeit small, once supported same-sex marriage.

Now occurring a new YouGov survey it’s underwater among Republicans by 41 pts."

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/1897318516925300795?t=TNmmAZpRHnT-eryblq-e8Q&s=19

The Supreme Court is overwhelmingly conservative dominated, but that's specifically Federalist Society dominated, and the Federalist Society leans significantly libertarian of the Republican center, and libertarians are pro-gay-marriage. So I think there's only about a 10% chance the Supreme Court will overturn the precedent within the next five years.

bought Ṁ50 YES

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/24/us/idaho-same-sex-marriage-supreme-court.html

Idaho Lawmakers Want Supreme Court to Overturn Same-Sex Marriage Decision
A state legislative committee has advanced a resolution asking that the power to regulate marriage be returned to the states.