If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?
8
1kṀ1630
2028
92%
Clarence Thomas
75%
Samuel Alito
25%
Neil Gorsuch
25%
Brett Kavanaugh
25%
Amy Coney Barrett
20%
John Roberts
10%
Sonia Sotomayor
7%
Elena Kagan
5%
Ketanji Brown Jackson

Resolves YES for any justice who votes against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage, and NO for any justice who votes for a constitutional right to same-sex marriage. Resolves N/A for any justice not on the Court during the case, or who recuses themselves. Applies only to the first case revisiting the constitutional right to same-sex marriage by the end of the current presidential term (January 20, 2029), and resolves N/A if no such case occurs.

Justices' opinions on other related questions, such as whether the reasoning of Obergefell was correct, whether Congress has the right to legislate on same-sex marriage, whether private citizens can discriminate against same-sex couples, etc. are irrelevant. This resolves only based on how justices vote on the question of whether there is a constitutional right to same-sex marriage.

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