Will there be legally recognized three-party civil unions/marriages in the US by 2100?
5
70Ṁ110
2099
66%
chance

This will resolve 'Yes' if any state in the US recognizes the union.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

In the US, marriages are primarily regulated by the states, not the federal government: Would this resolve YES if/when the first state legalizes them? Or some other metric?

@hct I've just updated the description to reflect that if any state recognizes the union, it would resolve as 'Yes'.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy