Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
32
1kṀ5309
2027
94%
chance

This resolves YES if

  • The Supreme Court does not overturn Obergefell v Hodges or

  • A federal law is passed that protects gay marriage in all states and no federal court has legally halted gay marriages in any state.

A state law being passed that outlaws gay marriage resolves YES as long as the federal protection continues and no federal court halts gay marriages in a particular state.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@TeresaAsma Given the close date, I assume you mean it must remain legal throughout 2026, not just staying legal through some of the year?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy