Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
32
1kṀ53092027
94%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves YES if
The Supreme Court does not overturn Obergefell v Hodges or
A federal law is passed that protects gay marriage in all states and no federal court has legally halted gay marriages in any state.
A state law being passed that outlaws gay marriage resolves YES as long as the federal protection continues and no federal court halts gay marriages in a particular state.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@TeresaAsma Given the close date, I assume you mean it must remain legal throughout 2026, not just staying legal through some of the year?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will i get legally married before 2026
13% chance
Will every state in the US perform and recognize gay marriage at the end of 2028?
76% chance
Will same-sex marriage be federally guaranteed in the US for all of now through 2026?
97% chance
Will same-sex marriage be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040?
5% chance
Change in US support for same-sex marriage, 2025-2026
Will India institutionalise same-sex marriage or civil unions before 2026?
17% chance
Will a US state cease to recognize same-sex marriages by 2029?
20% chance
Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?
27% chance
what countries will legalize gay marriage by 2030
Will same sex marriage become legal in japan before the end of 2026?
66% chance