Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
29
1kṀ5024
2027
95%
chance

This resolves YES if

  • The Supreme Court does not overturn Obergefell v Hodges or

  • A federal law is passed that protects gay marriage in all states and no federal court has legally halted gay marriages in any state.

A state law being passed that outlaws gay marriage resolves YES as long as the federal protection continues and no federal court halts gay marriages in a particular state.

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