Will same-sex marriage be federally guaranteed in the US for all of now through 2026?
47
1kṀ8724
2027
97%
chance

Related Markets:

Market context
US Politics
Politics
LGBTQIA+
Trans Questions
Olivia
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
This should be way higher than 73%... who wants to lock up mana for 4 years though
No joy in answering the way I did. And I'm not trying to scare people but you are particularly vulnerable and I want you to have an emergency exit plan in place. Just in case. On the upside, I'm wrong all the time. That's why I'm taking data analytics classes..

People are also trading

Will India institutionalise same-sex marriage or civil unions before 2026?
1% chance
Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
94% chance
Will every state in the US perform and recognize gay marriage at the end of 2028?
88% chance
Will same-sex marriage be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040?
6% chance
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
Change in US support for same-sex marriage, 2025-2026
Will same sex marriage become legal in japan before the end of 2026?
44% chance
Will a US state cease to recognize same-sex marriages by 2029?
12% chance
Will same-sex marriage remain legal in Texas until 2030?
90% chance
Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?
6% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy