Who will Nate Silver get hired by?
Basic
15
Ṁ523
resolved Aug 2
60%41%
Substack
40%5%
An option not listed at market close
3%Other
5%
The New York Times
3%
The Washington Post
0.1%
AI Impacts
3%
CNN
0.6%
Alphabet
1.2%
YouGov
1.3%
Reuters
6%
The Financial Times
3%
ABC
1.7%
Pew Research Centre
14%
He’ll get private investment
8%
Bloomberg
3%
538 changes their mind and hires him back
0.2%
The Atlantic
0.2%
MSNBC
0.2%
The Guardian
0.2%
Vox

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Right, what's our resolution here? I'm minded to say half "substack" and half "an option not listed at market close"

I'm thinking of giving this another month. What do you lot think?

He's a mediocre dude, rather standard demographic models, most states have predictable elections. His sports models also fail.

Whereas I predict societal collapse from peak oil and am always right.

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