Will society collapse from peak oil before 2027?
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359
350
2027
6%
chance

By January 1st 2027 no public tech companies will exist. This is the only criteria.

This is defined as all companies currently on the XLK technology ETF. Big three banks (wells, BOFA, chase) may exist but will be crippled by spending limits from basel capital requirements. Citi will die first and the order of collapse will be

Citigroup Inc.

BOFA

BNP Paribas USA, Inc.

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Credit Suisse Holdings (USA), Inc.

UBS Americas Holding LLC

DWS USA Corporation

HSBC North America Holdings Inc.

Morgan Stanley/Wells Fargo

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Federal government will not exist. If it did beef consumption measured by USDA will begin declining. This will cause a surge in vitamin D malnutrition and death. Food production will be the same because processing is the constraint.

Total population will be the same. Adult population will be 90% less by 2040 or much sooner. No fossil fuel vehicles will be retailed by 2030 as there is no gas.

Blackouts on poweroutages.us will exceed 1 million on peak days from 2022 to forever. I will be banned from this site for "jews did wtc" comments or some idiot reason decided by moderators.

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For those who want to bet directly on the final claim:

predicts YES

@ScottLawrence I just saw some kind of ban popup. I'm still able to post.

predicts YES

Unrelated paste-

Russia and Ukraine will form the Union State before January 1 2027. Any ambiguous or other result will resolve to NO. This is the only criteria.

A rough timeline will be as follows-

2024: continuation of indecisive clashes.

2025: Poland receives 250 Abrams. Ukraine agrees to talks and advances into luhansk. Crimea never falls.

2026: russia and Ukraine form a union and Russia and possibly Belarus collapse. Transistra goes to Ukraine.

2027 and later: capitalism collapses and eastern Europe is consumed with border disputes. Microstates of gibraltar, monaco, marino, montenegro, Vatican, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, andorra and Singapore are absorbed into the largest neighbor. Taiwan is bombarded and not invaded and surrenders. After foreign aid no government exists in Africa. Israel is destroyed. All russian proxies except Crimea collapse. I get banned for antisemitism.

@MarkIngraham oh and 90% of the oil in the world is fake. Tar and condensate are not oil. Capitalism is mental illness.