Will Nate Silver join Bluesky before 2026?
Basic
9
Ṁ2502026
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to "yes" if Nate Silver posts on X that he is on Bluesky or verifies on Bluesky that it's the real Nate Silver before 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
50% chance
Will Manifold think Nate Silver had a bad take before the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?
36% chance
Will Nate Silver appear on the 538 Politics Podcast in 2024?
3% chance
Will Manifest 2025 have someone more famous than Nate Silver, according to YouGov?
20% chance
Will Nate Silver "Sell or license his 2024 election model to a third-party media company"?
5% chance
Will Nate Silver be involved in a major scandal in 2024?
16% chance
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
2% chance
Will Nate Silver predict the election better than 538, according to a statistical analysis such as a Brier score?
90% chance
Will Nate Silver use/reference SquiggleHub or https://www.getguesstimate.com/scratchpad by EOY2026?
50% chance