What % of FTX money will be clawed back from grantees, resolves to my best guess? | Manifold

What % of FTX money will be clawed back from grantees, resolves to my best guess?

FTX•Ancient Markets

11

78

Ṁ490

Ṁ250

2027

24%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Needs to have been demanded, not just requested.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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@NathanpmYoung consider reopening this market!

predicts YES

Any reason these FTX markets are closed? Imagine it won't be known for a while, so it'd be nice to reopen these markets before March:

https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Charity-program-ending-March-1st-ac5da2d66e9d4306a917e3dd653b9cea

Do you mean what % of total owed by FTX, or total that grantees were given, or something else?

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Will >5% of an FTX-implicated political donation be clawed back, from >2 politicians or political campaigns, by end of 2026?

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FTX questions

Will Sam Bankman-Fried's father or mother be indicted by 2025?

What percentage of their money will FTX customers get back?

Ancient Markets questions

If I buy a Pacaso home, will I eventually come to regret it within 2 years of purchase?

Will Haunted Chocolatier release before June 1st 2024

Related questions

Will >5% of an FTX-implicated political donation be clawed back, from >2 politicians or political campaigns, by end of 2026?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?

Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Will any FTXFF grantee be legally compelled to return funds due to FTX's bankruptcy?

Will the recipients of naming rights money for the FTX Arena receive a demand to give their money back (e.g. to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

What percentage of their total claims will customers receive in the first installment issued by FTX International?

Will >5% of >2 FTX political donations received before the 90-day bankruptcy period be clawed back?