There will be significant bad blood within EA over disagreements about feminism before 2025
20
1kṀ1870
resolved Jul 19
Resolved as
15%

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ25
2Ṁ20
3Ṁ17
4Ṁ11
5Ṁ11

People are also trading

Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?
6% chance
EA will have a noticeably less sexually libertine culture in 2025 for the 90th percentile EA, than before 2023, looking back.
59% chance
The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.
50% chance
Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?
77% chance
Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?
16% chance
In 2025, what percentage of EAs are non-male?
31% chance
Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?
13% chance
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
24% chance
Will I give a shit about any EA scandal throughout the next five years?
19% chance
Will EA sentiment surrounding SBF trend positive by 2040?
8% chance
Sort by:

@NathanpmYoung can resolve (seems like a clear NO to me)

@Ziddletwix @NathanpmYoung

@Ziddletwix @NathanpmYoung can resolve?

@Ziddletwix What do you propose it resolves to?

I have definitely come across bad blood regarding feminism and it was significant for the people involved. I don't think the topic will ever escalate to a large scale community discussion.

Not buying because the criteria are unclear

What counts as significant bad blood?

People are also trading

Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?
6% chance
EA will have a noticeably less sexually libertine culture in 2025 for the 90th percentile EA, than before 2023, looking back.
59% chance
The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.
50% chance
Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?
77% chance
Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?
16% chance
In 2025, what percentage of EAs are non-male?
31% chance
Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?
13% chance
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
24% chance
Will I give a shit about any EA scandal throughout the next five years?
19% chance
Will EA sentiment surrounding SBF trend positive by 2040?
8% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy