Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030
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best defined manifold market:

please precisely define capitalism; if I had created this market I know what I'd mean, but I'd like to hear clear definitions of what kinds of market economy do not qualify as capitalism to be sure I understand your definition of the laws that make an economy qualify.

I guess I mean that we aren't in "late capitalism". It's fine.

@NathanpmYoung So most developed democracies count. Even say, sweden and denmark

@NathanpmYoung would Sweden or Denmark but with UBI count?

predictedYES

@ahalekelly count as what?

@NathanpmYoung Does a liberal capitalist democracy with UBI still count as capitalist? If UBI becomss widely adopted, would you say capitalism is still doing fine?

@ahalekelly Good question, I'm also interested (bump)

predictedYES

Adrian, yes I would

People are also trading

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
10% chance
Will the world be more democratic in 2045?
30% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2035?
89% chance
Will half of the world’s population or more live in democracies before 2030?
21% chance
No significant improvement on current government supported capitalism will be running in a 10mn+ settlement/country by 2040
66% chance
Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
21% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2050?
82% chance
Will any of the following Western countries abandon democracy by 2030?
24% chance
Will China be a democracy in 2050?
24% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2040?
85% chance
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