Will the US be a democracy in 2035? | Manifold Markets

1

Will the US be a democracy in 2035?

DismalScientist

16

closes 2041

88%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018

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Since we're not one now.....

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Will Israel be a democracy in 2030?89%

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Will India be a democracy in 2050?54%

Will any of the following Western countries abandon democracy by 2030?19%

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Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?22%

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Will America heal by 2035?40%

Will South Africa remain a democracy until 2030?79%

Will the United States of America be composed of exactly 50 states by 2030?78%

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Will the USA become a fascist dictatorship by 2050?22%

Will a US state attempt to leave the union by 2030?7%

Will there still be exactly 50 US states by 2030?77%

Will Sweden keep being a democracy until 2030?94%

Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2030?6%

Will an age limit be placed on the US Presidency before 2030?6%

Will at least one Latin American country stop being a democracy in 2023?33%

Will any US state secede before 2030?5%

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?14%

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