Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met? | Manifold

Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?

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Help me improve the resolution criteria! The aim is to predict whether this will be "normal"

Suggested:

A majority of funding rounds in 2025 over $100k will have some public/forecasting.

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Related questions

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?

Will prediction markets be used to allocate UKRI funding before 2040?

Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Will "impact markets" distribute more than $10m of grant funding before 2030?

In Jan 2028, will non-profit decision making commonly use forecasting processes? [Resolves to Poll]

Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project by 2031?

Will space governance / space colonization get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

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