Will there be a publicly detrans elected official in the US before 2029?
13
1kṀ2592029
65%
chance
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This market resolves as YES if there is an elected official in the US who is publicly detransitioning or publicly has detransitioned before 2029. This includes both those in and out of office. If you already know of an elected official who is openly detrans and provide evidence of their existence from local or national news, then this market resolves as YES. Personal communications (say on social networks) confirming the person as detrans do not qualify. If there is not a detrans elected official before 2029, then this market resolves as NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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