Will there be a publicly detrans elected official in the US before 2029? | Manifold

Will there be a publicly detrans elected official in the US before 2029?

13

1kṀ259

2029

65%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves as YES if there is an elected official in the US who is publicly detransitioning or publicly has detransitioned before 2029. This includes both those in and out of office. If you already know of an elected official who is openly detrans and provide evidence of their existence from local or national news, then this market resolves as YES. Personal communications (say on social networks) confirming the person as detrans do not qualify. If there is not a detrans elected official before 2029, then this market resolves as NO.

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In the US?

@Joshua Yes, let me update

@Nadja_L any elected official? You're including city councilmen and school board members (if elected)?

@jack Yes, any elected official!

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Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?

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Will a trans person be president of the USA by 2030?

Will the US have a gender non-conforming president by 2033?

Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?

Will any country in the world have a transgender head of state by 2050?

Will it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)

Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?

Will US state policies on transgender people be significantly more polarized at the beginning of 2026?

Related questions

Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?

Will there be a publicly detrans elected official at the state or federal level in the US before 2029?

Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?

Will a trans person be president of the USA by 2030?

Will the US have a gender non-conforming president by 2033?

Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?

Will any country in the world have a transgender head of state by 2050?

Will it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)

Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?

Will US state policies on transgender people be significantly more polarized at the beginning of 2026?

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