Will US state policies on transgender people be significantly more polarized at the beginning of 2026?
26
1kṀ34212026
20%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
https://www.lgbtmap.org/equality-maps/index/policies
As of market creation, the "gender identity" tab currently includes 37 states that are either "high" or "negative" in their policy tally. At market close, this resolves YES if that number is 45 or above, otherwise it resolves NO.
In the event that lgbtmap changes its scoring criteria significantly or ceases to exist, I'll do my best to resolve based on the scoring criteria in place at the time of market creation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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