Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?
➕
Plus
1
Ṁ350
2029
50%
TikTok Inc. v. Merrick Garland (TikTok Ban)
50%
United States v. Skrmetti (ban on transgender health care for minors)
50%
KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC (ban on prediction markets for elections)
50%
Food and Drug Administration v. Wages and White Lion Investments, LLC (E-cigarette supreme court case)
31%
U.S. and Plaintiff States v. Google LLC (Google antitrust case)
31%
Federal Trade Commission, et al. v. Amazon.com, Inc. (Amazon antitrust case)
31%
U.S and Plaintiff States v. Apple Inc. (Apple antitrust case)
31%
United States v. Sam Bankman-Fried
31%
United States v. Binance Holdings (charges against Binance for iolating several laws, including the Bank Secrecy Act, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and the Commodity Exchange Act)
31%
Federal Trade Commission v. Microsoft Corp. and Activision Blizzard, Inc (Attempt to block Microsoft's merger/acquisition of Activision Blizzard
31%
United States v. Meta Platforms, Inc. (alleging a violation of the fair housing act by Meta)

Background

The Department of Justice (DOJ) maintains numerous high-profile cases across antitrust, financial regulation, and tech sectors. There is historical precedent for the DOJ dropping cases during presidential transitions, particularly when they align with new administration priorities or face policy constraints.

Resolution Criteria

A case will be considered "dropped" if any of the following occur during Trump's presidency:

  • The DOJ voluntarily dismisses the case

  • The DOJ declines to continue pursuing an appeal

  • The DOJ settles the case without obtaining significant remedies relative to the original complaint

  • The DOJ substantially scales back the scope or charges

  • The DOJ scales back the scope of relief it is seeking to the point that the relief is fundamentally insignificant or nominal in nature.

The market will resolve separately for each case listed. Cases that will resolve No are those that are:

  • Concluded through the normal judicial process without a significant change to the position of the United States

  • Settled with substantial remedies

  • Resolved through the normal judicial process before Trump takes office.

If the United States drops its original position before Trump takes office, that case will resolve as N/A.


Note: a market can resolve to yes even if the case continues for any reason (such as a private party or state government maintaining the litigation). The only thing that matters for the purposes of this market is whether the United States government abandoned its position.

On Adding Answers:

  • I reserve the right to N/A any answer that is not in keeping with the spirit of this market

  • If a submission is attempting to be a valid answer. I will help the author to make it a valid answer.

  • If an answer is added after that answer has already satisfied the criteria to resolve "Yes" that answer will resolve N/A

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Ṁ1,000
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