Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?
18
1kṀ11012040
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if an openly LGBTQIA+ Justice is appointed before 2040. This market resolves NO if no openly LGBTQIA+ Justices are appointed before 2040.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2030?
Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
73% chance
Will the supreme court be majority-women in 2040?
21% chance
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
Will there be a US president who identifies as queer by 2035?
16% chance
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?
6% chance
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
67% chance
Will an age limit be placed on the US Supreme Court before 2030?
5% chance
Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?
17% chance