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MANIFOLD
Will there be a US president who identifies as queer by 2035?
30
Ṁ1kṀ1k
2036
16%
chance

Update 10/29: Resolves positively if there is a US president by 2035 who identifies as anything other than heterosexual.

Update 10/29: A positive resolution requires the subject to publicly self-identify as queer / non-heterosexual while a sitting US president.

Market context
US Politics
LGBTQIA+
Carson's Important Markets
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Do they have to specifically ID as queer or do any LGBTQ identities count? (Thinking about Pete Buttigieg here.)

@a queer umbrella is wide, if it's the second. most people could find an applicable alphabet label if they felt motivated to do so.

I interpreted it to be "queer as umbrella term"

The market was intended to include anyone LGBTQ - happy to reword the question if it is confusing. I would think to include Pete in that category.

predictedNO

@CarsonGale arguably this would include Lincoln then. He did share a bed with a man for like 4 years, iirc

@LivInTheLookingGlass I intended the question to require outward identification - I'll clarify in the description.

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